Tropical pastures add value to grazing systems in temperate environments of Eastern Australia

Context Australia has tropical, summer dominant rainfall in the north transitioning to temperate, winter dominant rainfall in the south. Temperate pasture species with a cool season growth pattern are commonly grown in the south, but tropical pasture species that are highly productive and responsive to summer rainfall, may also have a role in southern pasture systems with climate change. Research question Determine the value of replacing temperate pastures with tropical pastures; and assess the emergence success of tropical grasses in response to historic climate change in eastern Australia. Methods The AusFarm model was used to test replacing lucerne (Medicago sativa L.) (L); annual ryegrass (Lolium rigidum L.)/subterranean clover (Trifolium subterraneum L.) (RC); or lucerne/annual ryegrass/subterranean clover (LRC) with tropical pasture at varying rates of inclusion at five locations across the subtropical-temperate transition zone. The emergence success of tropical grasses with a bare fallow, short fallow and increased ground cover management was also tested. The modelling covered two periods, the Far Climate (1960–1990) and the Near Climate (1990–2020). Results Tropical pastures had higher plant growth in late summer-early autumn when temperate pastures are less active. Pasture growth decreased from the Far to the Near Climate period across all sites. The pastures with L lost the most production over this period, with minimal change in other pasture types. Supplementary feeding was reduced at all sites with the inclusion of tropical pastures. The cost of supplementary feeding from the Far to the Near Climate increased by $20/ha with increased variability between years, which in-turn decreased gross margin by an average of $26/ha. Tropical pastures improved profitability on average by $24/ha (11%), but with different responses between environments. At the low rainfall sites (Condobolin and Leeton) there was a substantial benefit when tropical grass-clover (TC) pasture replaced L, but at the higher rainfall sites (Cowra and Wagga Wagga) the benefit was replacing RC with TC. There was a gradient of successful emergence from very high (>90%) in the north, to reduced opportunities in the south (<45%), and marginal influence of sowing management. Conclusions Adding tropical pastures to grazing systems with temperate pastures increased summer-autumn growth, the animal requirements met by pasture, and gross margins. Profitability of livestock systems decreased with climate change, but this can be overcome by optimising pasture composition. Fewer years are favourable for establishment of tropical pastures in more temperate environments, therefore establishment strategies need to be adjusted and field tested.