Asymmetric impacts of El Nino-Southern Oscillation on summer temperature over the eastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, as revealed by the blue intensity of Picea purpurea

Shuhua Qiao,Yang Deng,Linlin Gao, Yiyun Yuan, Qianling Huang,Xiaohua Gou

GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE(2024)

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摘要
The Qinghai -Tibetan Plateau (QTP) is a region exceptionally sensitive to climate change. Warming in the QTP has more than doubled the global average temperature over the past 50 years. Numerous studies have aimed to assess recent warming by reconstructing the past climate of the QTP through tree -ring analysis. However, these studies primarily utilize ring width as the parameter. Our study marks the development of the blue intensity (BI) chronologies from Picea purpurea in the eastern QTP. Additionally, the latewood BI chronology was employed to reconstruct the mean maximum temperature (Tmax) of July-August for this region. The reconstruction spanned from 1737 to 2020 CE and accounted for 62% of the observed variance during 1961-2020 CE. The reconstruction revealed distinct periods: the cool phase of the Little Ice Age, relative stability in the 19th century, slight warming in the 20th century, and a substantial temperature increase since the 21st century. Moreover, we highlight the El Nin similar to o-Southern Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, and tropical volcanic eruptions as critical factors influencing July-August Tmax over the eastern QTP. However, the impact of El Nin similar to o-Southern Oscillation on regional temperature exhibited asymmetry: La Nin similar to a events caused considerable cooling in the study area, while the warming associated with El Nin similar to o events was not substantial, demanding further investigation. In conclusion, these findings imply that tree -ring BI holds substantial potential to enhance our comprehension of past temperature fluctuations in the QTP. Its superior temperature sensitivity, in contrast to commonly used ring width data, is particularly noteworthy.
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关键词
Blue intensity (BI),Eastern Qinghai -Tibetan Plateau,Maximum temperature,ENSO,Volcanic eruption
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