Probing the physics of reionization using kinematic Sunyaev-Zeldovich power spectrum from current and upcoming cosmic microwave background surveys

The patchiness in the reionization process alters the statistics of cosmic microwave background (CMB), with the kinematic Sunyaev-Zeldovich (kSZ) effect in the CMB temperature power spectrum being a notable consequence. In this work, we aim to explore the potential of future kSZ power spectrum measurements in inferring the details of the reionization process. In this pursuit, we capitalize on the recent developments in foreground mitigation techniques using the Cross-Internal Linear Combination (Cross-ILC) technique, which enables robust detection of the kSZ power spectrum with signal-to-noise ratio roughly 20 sigma-30 sigma in this decade by South pole Telescope (SPT-3G) and Simons Observatory (SO); and >= 80 sigma by CMB-S4 - substantially improving on the recent evidence for kSZ binned at & ell; = 3000 using SPT-SZ + SPTpol surveys. We use a fiducial kSZ power spectrum along with realistic error bars expected from the above technique for SPT-3G, SO, and CMB-S4 to constrain the parameter space for a physical model of reionization. We find that with the improved error bars it will be possible to place stringent constraints on reionization using solely the Cross-ILC recovered SPT-3G kSZ without imposing any prior on tau in the Bayesian inference. Notably, high-fidelity kSZ measurements from CMB-S4 coupled with tau measurements through LiteBIRD will enable unprecedented constraint on the midpoint of reionization with an error bar of similar to 0.25 and the duration of reionization with an error bar at similar to 0.21 exclusively using CMB data. This study highlights the need to capture kSZ power spectrum on a broad range of multipoles to gain insights into the inhomogeneous reionization era.