Evolution of internal dimensions in object-oriented software-A time series based approach

Software evolution is the process of adapting, maintaining, and updating a software system. This process concentrates the most significant part of the software costs. Many works have studied software evolution and found relevant insights, such as Lehman's laws. However, there is a gap in how software systems evolve from an internal dimensions point of view. For instance, the literature has indicated how systems grow, for example, linearly, sub-linearly, super-linearly, or following the Pareto distribution. However, a well-defined pattern of how this phenomenon occurs has not been established. This work aims to define a novel method to analyze and predict software evolution. We based our strategy on time series analysis, linear regression techniques, and trend tests. In this study, we applied the proposed model to investigate how the internal structure of object-oriented software systems evolves in terms of four dimensions: coupling, inheritance hierarchy, cohesion, and class size. Applying the proposed method, we identify the functions that better explain how the analyzed dimensions evolve. Besides, we investigate how the relationship between dimension metrics behave over the systems' evolution and the set of classes existing in the systems that affect the evolution of these dimensions. We mined and analyzed data from 46 Java-based open-source projects. We used eight software metrics regarding the dimensions analyzed in this study. The main results of this study reveal ten software evolution properties, among them: coupling, cohesion, and inheritance evolve linearly; a relevant percentage of classes contributes to coupling and size evolution; a small percentage of classes contributes to cohesion evolution; there is no relation between the software internal dimensions' evolution. The results also indicate that our method can accurately predict how the software system will evolve in short-term and long-term predictions.