Composite Power System Reliability Assessment Considering Uncertainty of Electric Vehicle Charging and PV Power Generation.

2023 IEEE Industry Applications Society Annual Meeting (IAS)(2023)

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摘要
Modern power systems are facing several challenges with the increasing penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) and electric vehicles (EVs). The problem arises due to inter-mittency and uncertainties associated with IBR-based resources and electric vehicles. It is indispensable from the perspective of power system planning and operation to consider these factors in reliability assessment. The reliability assessment of modern power systems that are heavily penetrated with renewable generators should consider their uncertainties to quantify the reliability index and include EVs charging load in their framework as well. Therefore, this paper proposes an approach for composite power system reliability assessment combined with the probabilistic prediction interval of PV power along with the integration of electric vehicles. An electric vehicle load model developed considering the different locations of charging stations, types of EV, and drivers' behavior is integrated. Finally, a sequential Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine the range of the reliability index after an interval forecast of the PV and EV load model is developed. The impact of different levels of EV penetration on the reliability of power system integrated with PV is also investigated. The significance of this work is to provide an accurate reliability assessment framework that takes PV uncertainties and electric vehicles into consideration.
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关键词
Electric vehicle (EV),interval forecast,PV uncer-tainty,reliability,sequential monte carlo simulation
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