Deformation Pattern and Failure Mechanism of Railway Embankment Caused by Lake Water Fluctuation Using Earth Observation and On-Site Monitoring Techniques

The prediction of railway embankment failure is still a global challenge for the railway industry due to the complexity of embankment failure mechanisms. In this work, the pre-failure deformation and the settlement from abnormal deformation to the final failure were investigated based on earth observation and on-site monitoring with a focus on the deformation stage and failure mechanism of railway embankments. Some new viewpoints are suggested: (1) the differential settlement of similar to 19 mm revealed via InSAR at the failure region of the embankment may have been caused by internal erosion after rapid drawdown. The cumulative settlement was found to increase with the decline of the lake water level. (2) The railway embankment experienced three phases of primary, secondary, and accelerated creep phases, similar to the evolution of most landslide or dam failures. However, the train loading and seepage force may have aggravated the secondary consolidation, promoting the embankment to enter the accelerated creep phase quickly. The deformation pattern was presented as an exponential curve trend. (3) The formation mechanism of embankment collapse can be summarized as "seepage failure-creep-shear slip-collapse" failure under repeated train loading and rapid drawdown. This work provides some clues for early warnings and for the development of maintenance plans.