Exploring climate extremes in Brazil’s Legal Amazon

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment(2024)

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摘要
In this study, we evaluated extreme climate indicators for precipitation and temperature in the Brazilian Legal Amazon (BLA) from 1961 to 2021. Data from 38 National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) weather stations with a record failure rate less than 12% were used, and RClimDex software and the Mann–Kendall test, Pettitt test, standard normal homogeneity test (SNHT), and Buishand test were employed to analyse the data. The results showed increased extreme rainfall events, including the annual total rainfall divided by wet days (SDII). More frequent discontinuities were observed in the 1980s (SNHT) and 1990s (Pettitt and Buishand tests). The extreme temperature climate indicators also significantly increased, particularly in the 1990s. These increases are likely linked to changes in local climate conditions due to agricultural expansion, intensified industrial activities, and regional urbanization. This study underscores the need for proactive measures to curb illegal deforestation and reduce CO 2 emissions and further research to better understand and mitigate the adverse impacts of these changes on the BLA environment and local communities. Graphical abstract
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关键词
Trend test,Homogeneity test,Warming trends,Extreme rainfall events,Brazilian Amazon
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