Changing footprint of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on global land surface air temperature

SCIENCE BULLETIN(2024)

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摘要
Sea surface temperature modes have been found to modulate anthropogenic global warming rates on annual and decadal time-scales,sometimes leading to periods of"slowdown"despite increasing greenhouse gas emissions[1].Among well-known cli-mate modes,including atmospheric patterns like North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO)and oceanic phenomena such as the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation(AMO)and El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO)emerges as a crucial factor modulating global temperature on a decadal scale,showing associations between its positive phases with rapid warming,and negative phases with reduced warming or even cooling(Fig.S1 and Table S1 online;[2]).Currently,despite that the PDO has entered its negative phase since the late 2010s,global tempera-tures have remained at historically high levels.Recent data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration(NOAA)also indicate record-breaking global sea surface temperatures in past months(from April to September 2023).It is essential to explore the role of oceanic conditions and their potential implica-tions for the trajectory of global warming.
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