Abstract 14016: Marked Geographic Variation in Atrial Fibrillation Ablation Rates in a Universal Single Payer Health Care System

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation is increasingly commonly performed for patients with symptomatic AF. In Canada, AF ablation occurs at specialized electrophysiology centers (“EP centers”), which are clustered in major urban centers. Hypothesis: People with AF who live closer to an EP center are more likely to undergo an AF ablation. Methods: Data was compiled from Ontario Health datasets (e.g. emergency department (ED) visits, hospital discharges, physician billing) and Canadian census data for people presenting to an ED in Ontario, Canada with a new diagnosis of AF between 2007-16. The primary outcome was ablation within one year of the index ED visit. Secondary outcomes include ablation at two years. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to assess the relationship between distance to EP centers and likelihood of ablation. We also studied ablation frequency in relation to material deprivation (e.g. income, housing quality and education). Geospatial analyses were performed using QGIS. Results: Of the 135,681 people with newly diagnosed AF, 3911 (2.9%) had an ablation within one year of AF diagnosis and 5827 (4.3%) within two. There was a significant inverse relationship between a doubling of distance to the closest EP center and ablation within one year (OR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.91-0.94), and two years (OR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.94-0.97). Higher deprivation (measured in standard deviations from the mean) was associated with significantly less ablation at one year (OR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85-0.92). There was wide regional variation with relatively low rates near the largest urban center (Figure 1). Conclusions: Living further from an EP center and greater material deprivation are associated with lower AF ablation rates. Ablation rates vary by region, with the highest rates not consistently observed in areas most concentrated with EP centers. Figure 1. Age and sex adjusted AF ablation rates per 100,000 patients within a year of AF diagnosis in Ontario, Canada