Adaptive action-prediction cortical learning algorithm under uncertain environments.

The cortical learning algorithm (CLA) is a time series prediction algorithm. Memory elements called columns and cells discretely represent data with their state combinations, whereas linking elements called synapses change their state combinations. For tasks requiring to take actions, the action-prediction CLA (ACLA) has an advantage to complement missing state values with their predictions. However, an increase in the number of missing state values (i) generates excess synapses negatively affect the action predictions and (ii) decreases the stability of data representation and makes the output of action values difficult. This paper proposes an adaptive ACLA using (i) adaptive synapse adjustment and (ii) adaptive action-separated decoding in an uncertain environment, missing multiple input state values probabilistically. (i) The proposed adaptive synapse adjustment suppresses unnecessary synapses. (ii) The proposed adaptive action-separated decoding adaptively outputs an action prediction separately for each action value. Experimental results using uncertain two- and three-dimensional mountain car tasks show that the proposed adaptive ACLA achieves a more robust action prediction performance than the conventional ACLA, DDPG, and the three LSTM-assisted reinforcement learning algorithms of DDPG, TD3, and SAC, even though the number of missing state values and their frequencies increase. These results implicate that the proposed adaptive ACLA is a way to making decisions for the future, even in cases where information surrounding the situation partially lacked.