Abrogation of greater graft failure risk of female-to-male liver transplantation with donors older than 40 years or graft macrosteatosis greater than 5%

Greater graft-failure-risk of female-to-male liver transplantation (LT) is thought to be due to acute decrease in hepatic-estrogen-signaling. Our previous research found evidence that female hepatic-estrogen-signaling decreases after 40 years or with macrosteatosis. Thus, we hypothesized that inferiority of female-to-male LT changes according to donor-age and macrosteatosis. We stratified 780 recipients of grafts from living-donors into four subgroups by donor-age and macrosteatosis and compared graft-failure-risk between female-to-male LT and other LTs within each subgroup using Cox model. In recipients with ≤ 40 years non-macrosteatotic donors, graft-failure-risk was significantly greater in female-to-male LT than others (HR 2.03 [1.18–3.49], P = 0.011). Within the subgroup of recipients without hepatocellular carcinoma, the inferiority of female-to-male LT became greater (HR 4.75 [2.02–11.21], P < 0.001). Despite good graft quality, 1y-graft-failure-probability was 37.9% (23.1%–57.9%) in female-to-male LT within this subgroup while such exceptionally high probability was not shown in any other subgroups even with worse graft quality. When donor was > 40 years or macrosteatotic, graft-failure-risk was not significantly different between female-to-male LT and others ( P > 0.60). These results were in agreement with the estrogen receptor immunohistochemistry evaluation of donor liver. In conclusion, we found that the inferiority of female-to-male LT was only found when donor was ≤ 40 years and non-macrosteatotic. Abrogation of the inferiority when donor was > 40 years or macrosteatotic suggests the presence of dominant contributors for post-transplant graft-failure other than graft quality/quantity and supports the role of hepatic-estrogen-signaling mismatch on graft-failure after female-to-male LT.