Simulating Temporally and Spatially Correlated Wind Speed Time Series by Spectral Representation Method

Complex System Modeling and Simulation(2023)

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摘要
In this paper, it aims to model wind speed time series at multiple sites. The five-parameter Johnson distribution is deployed to relate the wind speed at each site to a Gaussian time series, and the resultant m- dimensional Gaussian stochastic vector process $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ is employed to model the temporal-spatial correlation of wind speeds at $m$ different sites. $\ln$ general, it is computationally tedious to obtain the autocorrelation functions (ACFs) and cross-correlation functions (CCFs) of $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ , which are different to those of wind speed times series. In order to circumvent this correlation distortion problem, the rank ACF and rank CCF are introduced to characterize the temporal-spatial correlation of wind speeds, whereby the ACFs and CCFs of $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ can be analytically obtained. $\text{Then}$ , Fourier transformation is implemented to establish the cross-spectral density matrix of $\boldsymbol{Z}(t)$ , and an analytical approach is proposed to generate samples of wind speeds at $m$ different sites. Finally, simulation experiments are performed to check the proposed methods, and the results verify that the five-parameter Johnson distribution can accurately match distribution functions of wind speeds, and the spectral representation method can well reproduce the temporal-spatial correlation of wind speeds.
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关键词
multivariate wind speed time series,rank autocorrelation function,rank cross-correlation function,cross-spectral density matrix,five-parameter johnson distribution
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