Ground Subsidence Response Conditional On Large-Scale Geothermal Exploitation In A Karst Reservoir Area of North China

Abstract Carbonate karst geothermal resources are widely distributed and have large reserves in North China. Nowadays, the scale of exploitation and utilization of the carbonate karst geothermal resources is gradually increasing. In this work, a geothermal exploitation area where the karst geothermal reservoirs are exploited on a large scale, is selected as the study area, and methods including experiment and numerical simulation are used to study the exploitation-induced ground subsidence problems based on the long-term water level monitoring data of the geothermal reservoir. Through analyses of ground subsidence caused by water level change of the geothermal reservoir, the following conclusions were obtained. The water level drawdown of different types of geothermal reservoirs had different effects on ground subsidence. The maximum ground subsidence of the study area caused by the water level decline of the Jx w carbonate geothermal reservoir was only 0.29 mm/a from 1983 to 2019, which is generally insignificant. In contrast, the same water level change of the N m sandstone geothermal reservoir was predicted to cause 8.9 mm/a ground subsidence. To slow down or even prevent the ground subsidence, balanced production and reinjection are required. From the result of this work, the decline of the water level of the Jx w carbonate geothermal reservoir caused by current large-scale geothermal exploitation will not cause serious ground subsidence. However, attention should be paid to the N m sandstone type geothermal reservoirs as their structures are much more sensitive to the water pressure change.