Tumor budding and the prognosis of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis

Purpose Tumor budding has been suggested to be associated with poor survival of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). However, it is unclear whether the association remains in patients with metastatic CRC (mCRC). The aim of the systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate the potential predictive role of tumor budding for the prognosis of patients with mCRC. Methods PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched for relevant observational studies comparing the survival outcomes between mCRC patients with high versus low tumor budding. Data collection, literature searching, and statistical analysis were conducted independently by two authors. Using a heterogeneity-incorporating random-effects model, the results were pooled. Results In this meta-analysis, 1503 patients from nine retrospective cohort studies were included. Pooled results showed that compared to those with low tumor budding, mCRC patients with high tumor budding were associated with a poor progression-free survival (hazard ratio (HR), 1.65; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.31 to 2.07, p < 0.001; I 2 = 30%) and overall survival (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.33 to 1.93; p < 0.001; I 2 = 0%). Influencing analysis by excluding one study at a time showed consistent results ( p all < 0.05). Subgroup analyses showed consistent results in tumor budding evaluated from the primary cancer and metastases, in studies with a high tumor budding defined as ≥ 10 or 15 and ≥ 5 buds/HPF and in studies analyzed with univariate and multivariate regression models ( p for subgroup difference all > 0.05). Conclusion A high-degree tumor budding may be associated with poor prognosis in patients with mCRC.