Cargo ship aft panel stresses prediction by deconvolution

This article introduces novel extreme value prediction method that can be used for a variety of offshore engineering applications. First, to demonstrate the novel method, fictitious data from a non-linear Duffing oscillator and measured wave heights were used as examples. The second incident included a container ship that experienced significant deck panel strains while traveling across the Atlantic Ocean in bad weather. The main concern for cargo ship transportation is potential loss of container owing to violent movements. It is challenging to model such a situation because waves and ship motions are both non-stationary and complicatedly nonlinear. Extreme motions greatly increase the role of nonlinearities, activating effects of second and higher order.