Prognostic factors associated with advanced chronic kidney disease in a cohort of patients with ANCA vasculitis and renal involvement

Objective The aim of this study was to evaluate prognostic factors associated with advanced chronic kidney disease (ACKD) in a cohort of patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis and renal involvement. Methods Observational retrospective study. We included patients with biopsy-proven ANCA glomerulonephritis (GN) diagnosed between 2001 and 2016, with at least 1-year follow-up. Data were recorded at diagnosis, end of induction, after 12 months of treatment, and at the end of follow-up. We analysed clinical–analytical data and renal histopathology, as well as treatments, dialysis requirement, relapses and death. Univariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with long-term ACKD (eGFR < 30 ml/min). Multivariate analysis using an alternative outcome (eGFR at the end of follow-up) was performed. Diagnostic accuracy for ACKD of each predictor variable was compared using AUC of ROC curves. Results Sixty patients were included: 17 GPA, 14 MPA, 5 EGPA, and 24 RLV. Forty-six patients were women (76.7%). Mean age at diagnosis was 67.8 years (SD 13.1), and median follow-up time was 4.2 years (IQR 2.2–6.8). At the end of follow-up, 12 patients (20.0%) had an eGFR < 30 ml/min. Univariate analysis showed a statistically significant association of ACKD with sclerotic class biopsy (OR 7.17, 95% CI 1.34–38.31), 12-month proteinuria (OR 5.16, 95% CI 1.16–22.87), and creatinine at diagnosis (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.02–1.52), end of induction (OR 15.40, 95% CI 2.41–98.28), and after 12 months (OR 19.25, 95% CI 2.75–134.92). In the multivariate analysis, eGFR at baseline (< 0.001), after 6 months (< 0.001) and 12 months of treatment (< 0.001), remained statistically associated with eGFR at the end of follow-up. The best diagnostic accuracy in ROC curves was shown by serum creatinine at the end of induction treatment (AUC 0.93) and after 12 months (AUC 0.94). Conclusion In this cohort of patients with ANCA GN, creatinine and eGFR at baseline and after 6 and 12 months of treatment were the best predictors of ACKD at the end of follow-up.