Prediction of rainfall-type debris flow in Jiangjiagou based on LSTM-Attention

Through the neural network model, the rainfall-type debris flow in Jiangjiagou is predicted. Based on seven meteorological factors with time series characteristics, such as daily rainfall, previous effective rainfall, ground temperature, and humidity, which have been screened by features, the Jiangjiagou rainfall debris flow prediction and early warning model based on LSTM-Attention is constructed. The results show that: (1) LSTM-Attention model is 0.02 higher than that of the Attention-LSTM model, and the prediction effect is better. (2) The prediction accuracy of LSTM-Attention model for Jiangjiagou rainfall-type debris flow can reach 0.88, which is 0.05, 0.07, 0.04, 0.25, 0.13 higher than that of LSTM model, RNN model, RNN-Attention model, SVM model, and BP model, respectively. Research results: It provides a new idea and method for the prediction and research of rainfall-type debris flow, which can be referenced by scholars.