16-Questions to Find Domestic-Terrorists, Mass-Murderers, Spree-Shooters, With a Study-1: 370-Workplace-Shooters vs. 370-Controls, and a Study-2: 9-Adult-Shooters With 12-Homicidal and 24-Controls Rated on the Ask Standard Predictor of Violence Potential-Adult Version and the MMPI-2: Implications Are to Use Computer-Tests and Machine-Learning-Equations to Lower Insurance Premiums and Prevent Church Bankruptcy

Robert John Zagar,James Garbarino,Brad Randmark,Ishup Singh, Joseph Kovach,Emma Cenzon, Michael Benko, Steve Tippins, Kenneth G. Busch, Rohit Baghel

Review of European Studies(2022)

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摘要
630 Terrorist-Mass-Murdering-Spree-Shooters are compared with 623-controls and separated by 16-Questions with a=.846, p<.01, AUC= .704, p<.01 that are: (1) homicidal? (2) suicidal? (3) stressful-life-event? (4) handgun-many-weapons-access? (5) violence-planning-preparing? (6) revenge? (7) eliciting-others-concern? (8) intent-leakage? (9) criminal-misconduct? (10) grievance? (11) random-violent-behavior? (12) threatening-victims? (13) dead-male-victim? (14) targeting-person-school-work? (15) student-professional-work-relationship? and (16) student? Before killing, terrorists come twice to courts-police, doctors-hospitals, schools-universities and human resources and are not diagnosed as dangerous due to error-prone current ways. In Study-1: 370-workplace-shooters (1968-2021) are contrasted with 370-controls using logistic-regression (F= 134.64, p<.01, df = 13/726, R=.84, p<.01, R2=. 71, p<.01 resulting in 14-Questions: (1) homicidal? (2) intent-leakage? (3) stressful-life-event? (4) revenge? (5) many-weapons? (6) elicited-others-concern? (7) criminal-misconduct? (8) threatened-victims? (9) dead-male-victim? (10) targeted-workplace? (11) professional-work-relationship? (12) suicidal? (13) random–violence? In Study-2: 9-spree-shooters are distinguished from 12-homicidal and 24-control adults showing a “7-point-violence-profile on two scales: (1)[Ask Standard Predictor of Violence Potential-Adult Version] violence (F=17.48, p<.01); and (2) the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory, Second Edition [MMPI-2] F (infrequency) (F=92.15, p<.01); L (lie) (F=13.13, p<.01), (3) D (depression) (F=37.76, p<.01); (4) Pd (psychopathic-deviance) (F=44.66, p<.01); (5)Pa (paranoia) (F=50.58, p<.01); (6) Sc (schizophrenia) (F=53.85, p<.01), (7) MacAndrews alcohol (F=42.01, p<.01); AAS (addiction admission) (F=57.34, p<.01). Looking from 1968-2021 at the insurance industry expense, there is the workplace-shooter loss = [$1,418,945,589.60 (370-shooters @ $3,834,988.08) + $4,053,582,400.56(1,057-deaths @) $3,834,988.08 + $37,556,154.24 (1,112-injured@ $33,773.52)] = $5,510,084,144.40 + [higher-insurance-premiums [$5,510,084,144.40 x 1.3 =] $7,163,109,387.72 = $12,673,193,582.12. No-computer-tests-equations, 2022-2105 [2 x $12,673,193,582.12 = $25,346,387,064.24.The 2nd violence example is the U.S-Catholic-Church-pedophilia-loss, (1936-2107) [payouts, $17,435,353,000] + [lost-donations =1.3 x payouts =] 22,665,958,900= $40,101,511,900 (1986-2107), with the 5,679 victims increasing (1936-2107) to 39,753-victims.
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