Trends and risk factors of extended-spectrum beta-lactamase urinary tract infection in Chinese children: a nomogram is built and urologist should act in time

Background: To investigate the etiological characteristics and risk factors of extended-spectrum betalactamase (ESBL) urinary tract infection (UTI) and construct a corresponding nomogram to predict the probability of ESBL((+)) UTI. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the records among patients experiencing UTI events in Chongqing Medical University Affiliated Children's Hospital from 1994 and 2019. Results: A total of 854 patients with UTI were evaluated and ESBL-producing bacteria increased significantly. Significant potential risk factors of ESBL-UTI were congenital urological abnormalities, vesicoureteral reflux, neurologic disorder, age <12 months, fever and previous use of antibiotics. On logistic regression analysis, neurological disorder (OR =8, 95% CI: 1.845-34.695) and antibiotics administration in the last 3 months (OR =4.764, 95% CI: 3.114-7.289) were identified as an independent significant risk factor for ESBL-UTI. The nomogram generated was well calibrated for all predictions of ESBL+ probability, and the accuracy of the model nomogram measured by Harrell's C statistic (C-index) was 0.741. Conclusions: The current situation of multiple bacterial antibiotic resistance has become a worrisome issue in UTI and early identification of ESBL production is important in terms of appropriate treatment and effective infection control. We may choose broad-spectrum antibiotics as empirical antibiotics for UTI among children with neurological disease and used antibiotic in the last three months.