What executives get wrong about statistics: Moving from statistical significance to effect sizes and practical impact

Business Horizons(2022)

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摘要
Statistical significance functions as an arbiter of sorts for data analysis purporting to show a relationship between two or more variables. Unfortunately, in far too many situations, statistical significance may lead decision-makers relying on data and analytics to improve business decisions astray, particularly in the context of big data. In this article, I outline reasons why executives should develop a healthy discernment when they see the phrase “statistically significant” in media outlets, internal analyses, consulting reports, and other sources. To overcome the limitations of focusing on statistical significance, I propose executives shift their attention toward the effect size reported from a statistical model. While not without limitation, effect sizes are more useful to decision-makers, highlight the practical implication of analyses, and help in quantifying the uncertainty inherent to working with data.
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关键词
Statistical significance,Statistical correlation,Data analysis,Omitted variables,P value
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