A case-crossover study of short-term air pollution exposure and the risk of stillbirth in California, 1999-2009.

BACKGROUND:Associations between ambient air pollution and stillbirth have recently been explored, but most studies have focused on long-term (trimester or gestational averages) rather than short-term (within one week) air pollution exposures. OBJECTIVE:To evaluate whether short-term exposures to criteria air pollutants are associated with increased risk of stillbirth. METHODS:Using air pollution and fetal death certificate data from 1999 to 2009, we assessed associations between acute prenatal air pollution exposure and stillbirth in California. In a time-stratified case-crossover study, we analyzed single day and/or cumulative average days (up to a 6 day lag) of exposure to fine (PM2.5) and coarse particles (PM10-2.5), ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and carbon monoxide (CO) for mothers estimated to reside within 10 km of a pollution monitor based on reported zip code. We also examined potential confounding by apparent temperature or co-pollutants, and effect modification by maternal demographic factors, fetal sex, gestational age, and cause of stillbirth. RESULTS:Stillbirth cases in the primary analyses ranged between 1,203 and 13,018, depending on the pollutant. For an IQR increase in SO2 (lag 4), O3 (lag 4), and PM10-2.5 (lag 2), we found a 2.8% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.2%, 5.5%), 5.8% (95% CI 1.6%, 10.1%), and 6.1% (95% CI 0.1%, 12.4%) increase in the odds of stillbirth, respectively. Additional adjustment by apparent temperature had little effect on the SO2 association but slightly attenuated O3 (adjusted % change: 4.2% (95% CI -0.2%, 8.9%) and PM10-2.5 (5.7% (95% CI -1.1%, 13.0%)) associations, while other co-pollutants had minimal impact. Associations were observed specifically for stillbirths from obstetric complications and in women with higher educational attainment. CONCLUSIONS:This study provides evidence for associations between prenatal short-term air pollution exposure, specifically SO2, O3, and PM10-2.5, and stillbirth in California and warrants replication of findings in other settings.