Recovery potential for a green ash floodplain forest using various emerald ash borer management strategies in a population viability analysis

•Management scenarios were simulated with stage based ash models.•Population persistence was influenced by adult and new seedling survival.•If aftermath conditions continue, the ash population is likely to persist.•Ash extinction was 33% lower when future predicted EAB impact was reduced.•Modeled scenarios suggest effective ways to conserve ash populations.