Assessing model performance of daily solar irradiance forecasts over Australia

Jing Huang,Lawrie J. Rikus,Yi Qin,Jack Katzfey

Solar Energy（2018）

引用 34|浏览18

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摘要

•Three leading numerical weather prediction models were assessed over Australia.•A strong negative correlation was found between overall clearness and forecasting error of daily GHI.•ERA5 performs relatively robustly across Australia.•Linearly blending the three models improves GHI forecasts.

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关键词

Solar forecasting,Numerical weather prediction,Clear-sky index,Forecast time horizon,Forecast skill,Model blending

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