Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the IMAGE model: Regional and gridded scenarios of land-use change and land-based climate change mitigation

•The SSP scenarios show a wide spread in agricultural land-use change in 2010-2050: from a decrease of 305 Mha in SSP1 to an increase of 826 Mha in SSP3.•Key drivers are population, agricultural efficiency, consumption, land availability, food losses, and dietary preferences.•Most land-use change is projected in Sub-Saharan Africa up to 424 Mha in the period 2010–2100.•Negative emissions from bioenergy (with CCS) and reforestation are crucial to limit temperature increases to 1.5oC in 2100.•REDD (avoided deforestation) in Sub-Saharan Africa could have substantial trade-offs negatively affecting food security.