Methylglyoxal as a Prognostic Factor in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

Aim Advanced glycation end products and their precursors cause vascular damage through oxidative stress. We investigated the hypothesis that methylglyoxal (MG), 3-deoxyglucosone (3-DG) and pentosidine influence outcomes of chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. Methods We conducted a 3 years prospective observational study involving 150 outpatients at CKD stages 3-5. At enrolment, MG, 3-DG and pentosidine plasma concentrations were measured; patients were divided into tertiles according to the concentration of each substance. The primary endpoint was death, a cardiovascular event or end-stage renal disease. Survival analysis was performed using the Cox regression model. Results The patients' mean age was 62 +/- 12 years, 97 were men, and 20 had diabetic nephropathy. The mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 25.0 +/- 12.1 mL/min per 1.73 m(2), which negatively correlated with MG but not with 3-DG and pentosidine. Forty-eight patients reached the primary endpoint. Compared with the lowest MG tertile, the hazard ratio for the primary endpoint was 7.57 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.71-33.54) in the middle tertile and 27.00 (CI: 6.46-112.82) in the highest tertile. When adjusted for characteristics at baseline, the corresponding hazard ratio decreased to 2.09 (CI: 0.37-11.96) and 6.13 (CI: 0.97-38.82), but MG tertile remained an independent risk factor for the primary endpoint. However, 3-DG and pentosidine were not related to the primary outcome. Conclusion Methylglyoxal has a close clinical association with CKD. Higher MG concentrations may contribute renal function deterioration in CKD. In CKD patients, MG concentration might be useful when determining the prognosis.