Characteristics associated with early (≤ 3 months) versus late (> 3 months to ≤ 3 years) mortality after acute myocardial infarction

To define the independent variables predictive of early versus late mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI), 420 consecutive patients were studied and divided into 3 groups: the 45 patients who died within the initial 3 months (group 1), the 45 patients who died >3 months and ≤3 years after AMI (group 2) and the 330 >3-year survivors (group 3). The stepwise logistic discrimination method was applied to clinical and laboratory variables recorded during hospitalization to distinguish among the 3 groups. Six independent variables were found to be predictive of early mortality: left ventricular function score (chi-square 26.2; p < 0.00001), ventricular fibrillation (chi-square 9.3; p = 0.002), bundle branch block (chi-square 9.0; p = 0.003), history of previous AMI (chi-square 8.7; p = 0.003), age (chi-square 5.8; p = 0.02) and atrioventricular block (chi-square 3.8; p = 0.05). Three independent variables were found predictive of late mortality: age (chi-square 13.8; p = 0.0002), anterior location of the AMI (chi-square 4.0; p = 0.04) and a low peak creatine kinase-MB level (chi-square 3.8; p = 0.05). Only 2 variables were able to distinguish between early and late nonsurvivors: peak creatine kinase-MB level (chisquare 8.7; p = 0.003) and ventricular fibrillation (chi-square 4.6; p = 0.03). Thus, the sets of independent risk factors for early and late mortality after AMI are substantially different—suggesting that differing mechanisms are responsible for outcome.