Assessing surface deformation in the Chengdu Plain: A comprehensive time-series InSAR study of urban development and natural environmental factors

The Chengdu Plain serves as the central hub for economic development in Sichuan Province. The study of its surface deformation plays a pivotal role in disaster prevention and ensuring the safety of lives and property. Based on SBAS-Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar technology, this paper derived the land surface deformation in the Chengdu Plain from January 2020 to October 2022, and analyzed it in relation to urban development and other natural environmental factors. Results are as follows: (1) The overall surface deformation in the study area remains stable, with a noticeable trend of westward uplift and eastward decline. Significant uplift is identified in Dujiangyan and Pengzhou, located near the Longmen Mountain, with a maximum uplift rate of +61 mm/year. Conversely, subsidence is evident from Qingbaijiang District in Chengdu to Deyang, with subsidence rates reaching a maximum of -87.8 mm/year. In the areas of Dayi and Qionglai, subsidence is relatively minor. The surface subsidence phenomenon in the study area is primarily associated with urban development. (2) The mean grey correlation coefficient between the time-series cumulative surface deformation and precipitation is 0.71, which suggests a strong relationship between the surface deformation and precipitation in the Chengdu Plain. However, a time delay is observed between the changes in surface deformation and precipitation. (3) The Longmen Mountain tectonic belt extrudes and lifts the premountain plain, playing a crucial role in shaping its topography. Additionally, the concealed fracture zone of Xinjin-Chengdu-Deyang may have contributed to surface subsidence. (4) After eliminating the effect of human factors, the cultivated land and grass land cover types exhibit a subsided state, whilst the artificial surface deformation is relatively stable, and the forest land exhibits an uplifted state. Surface deformation on different land cover types is correlated with water permeability, but it is also influenced by other factors. (c) 2023 COSPAR. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.