Parameter identifiability of a within-host SARS-CoV-2 epidemic model

Junyuan Yang, Sijin Wu,Xuezhi Li,Xiaoyan Wang, Xue-Song Zhang, Lu Hou

Infectious Disease Modelling(2024)

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摘要
Parameter identification involves the estimation of undisclosed parameters within a system based on observed data and mathematical models. In this investigation, we employ DAISY to meticulously examine the structural identifiability of parameters of a within-host SARS-CoV-2 epidemic model, taking into account an array of observable datasets. Furthermore, Monte Carlo simulations are performed to offer a comprehensive practical analysis of model parameters. Lastly, sensitivity analysis is employed to ascertain that decreasing the replication rate of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and curbing the infectious period are the most efficacious measures in alleviating the dissemination of COVID-19 amongst hosts.
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关键词
Structural identifiability,practical identifiability,sensitivity analysis,the basic reproduction number
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