Complex network analysis of cryptocurrency market during crashes
arxiv(2024)
摘要
This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its
dynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during
2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into
pre-crash, crash, and post-crash periods. Partial correlation based complex
network analysis is carried out to study the crashes. Degree density
(ρ_D), average path length (l̅), and average clustering coefficient
(cc) are estimated from these networks. We find that both ρ_D
and cc are smallest during the pre-crash period, and spike during
the crash suggesting the network is dense during a crash. Although ρ_D and
cc decrease in the post-crash period, they remain higher than
pre-crash levels for the 2017-18 and 2018-19 crashes suggesting a market
attempt to return to normalcy. We get l̅ is minimal during the crash
period, suggesting a rapid flow of information. A dense network and rapid
information flow suggest that during a crash uninformed synchronized panic
sell-off happens. However, during the 2019-20 crash, the values of ρ_D,
cc, and l̅ did not vary significantly, indicating minimal
change in dynamics compared to other crashes. The findings of this study may
guide investors in making decisions during market crashes.
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