Complex network analysis of cryptocurrency market during crashes

arxiv(2024)

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摘要
This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its dynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during 2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into pre-crash, crash, and post-crash periods. Partial correlation based complex network analysis is carried out to study the crashes. Degree density (ρ_D), average path length (l̅), and average clustering coefficient (cc) are estimated from these networks. We find that both ρ_D and cc are smallest during the pre-crash period, and spike during the crash suggesting the network is dense during a crash. Although ρ_D and cc decrease in the post-crash period, they remain higher than pre-crash levels for the 2017-18 and 2018-19 crashes suggesting a market attempt to return to normalcy. We get l̅ is minimal during the crash period, suggesting a rapid flow of information. A dense network and rapid information flow suggest that during a crash uninformed synchronized panic sell-off happens. However, during the 2019-20 crash, the values of ρ_D, cc, and l̅ did not vary significantly, indicating minimal change in dynamics compared to other crashes. The findings of this study may guide investors in making decisions during market crashes.
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