Weekend / holiday effect on stroke mortality in regional Australia: a ten-year retrospective study

Background There is a deficiency in the evidence from rural and regional centres in Australia on the weekend effect following presentation with acute stroke. Objective To estimate the association between admission over a weekend/holiday and all-cause mortality 3-day, 7-day, 14-day, 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month following acute stroke. Methods The records of stroke patients admitted to a main regional hospital in Australia from 2010 to 2020 were linked with the National Death Index. Time to death following ischaemic, haemorrhagic, and total stroke at different time points was modelled using Weibull, Exponential, or Gompertz regression based on best model fit determined by Akaike's information criterion. Results Of 1669 patients, 1273 (76.3%) were admitted on a weekday, and 396 (23.7%) on a weekend/ or holiday. After adjusting for age, sex, and Charlson Comorbidity Index, stroke type and country of birth, admissions over a weekend/holiday following total stroke were significantly associated with an increased risk of dying within three days from admission [hazard ratio (HR): 1.59, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-2.50]. In haemorrhagic stroke, increased risk of death was significantly higher at three days (HR: 2.19, 95% confidence interval: 1.17-4.08), 14 days (HR: 1.73, 95% confidence interval: 1.02-2.93), and 1 month (HR: 1.82, 95% confidence interval: 1.09-3.03) following admission on the weekend/ or holiday compared to those admitted during the weekdays. Conclusions This study reports a short-term adverse weekend/holiday effect following admission for haemorrhagic stroke or total stroke. No significant weekend/holiday effect was found in ischaemic stroke.