Epicardial adipose tissue volume assessed by cardiac CT as a predictor of atrial fibrillation recurrence following catheter ablation

Introduction In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), up to one third have recurrence after a first catheter ablation (CA). Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) has been considered to be closely related to AF, with a potential role in its recurrence. We aimed to evaluate the association between the volume of EAT measured by cardiac computed tomography (CT) and AF recurrence after CA. Methods Consecutive AF patients underwent a standardized cardiac CT protocol for quantification of EAT, thoracic adipose volume (TAV) and left atrium (LA) volume before CA. An appropriate cut-off of EAT was determined and risk recurrence was estimated. Results 305 patients (63.6 % male, mean age 57.5 years, 28.2 % persistent AF) were followed for 24 months; 23 % had AF recurrence at 2-year mark, which was associated with higher EAT (p = 0.037) and LAV (p < 0.001). Persistent AF was associated with higher EAT volumes (p = 0.010), TAV (p = 0.003) and LA volumes (p < 0.001). EAT was predictive of AF recurrence (p = 0.044). After determining a cut-off of 92 cm3, survival analysis revealed that EAT volumes > 92 cm3 showed higher recurrence rates at earlier time points after the index ablation procedure (p = 0.006), with a HR of 1.95 (p = 0.008) of AF recurrence at 2-year. After multivariate adjustment, EAT > 92 cm3 remained predictive of AF recurrence (p = 0.028). Conclusion The volume of EAT measured by cardiac CT can predict recurrence of AF after ablation, with a volume above 92 cm3 yielding almost twice the risk of arrhythmia recurrence in the first two years following CA. Higher EAT and TAV are also associated with persistent AF.