Prophet time series modeling of waste disposal rates in four North American cities
Environmental Science and Pollution Research(2024)
摘要
In this study, three different univariate municipal solid waste (MSW) disposal rate forecast models (SARIMA, Holt-Winters, Prophet) were examined using different testing periods in four North American cities with different socioeconomic conditions. A review of the literature suggests that the selected models are able to handle seasonality in a time series; however, their ability to handle outliers is not well understood. The Prophet model generally outperformed the Holt-Winters model and the SARIMA model. The MAPE and R2 of the Prophet model during pre-COVID-19 were 4.3–22.2
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关键词
Municipal solid waste,Univariate model,Seasonality,Autoregressive integrated moving average,Holt-Winters,COVID-19
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