GlycA Levels Independently Predict Coronary Artery Calcium Incidence and Progression in the ELSA-Brasil Cohort (Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health)

Atherosclerosis is an inflammatory disease. Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a marker of atherosclerotic disease events and mortality risk. Elevated GlycA, an emerging marker of inflammation, is associated with a higher risk for coronary artery disease (CAD). However, there is conflicting evidence on whether GlycA predicts subclinical CAD progression. We hypothesized that GlycA can predict subclinical CAC incidence/progression in healthy individuals. We included 2,690 ELSA-Brasil cohort participants without cardiovascular/chronic inflammatory disease not receiving statin therapy who had GlycA levels measured and two interval CAC assessments between 2010 through 2018. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were computed to evaluate GlycA as a predictor of CAC incidence and progression. CAC incidence required a baseline CAC of 0. CAC progression required a baseline CAC > 0. The mean age of participants was 48.6 ± 7.7 years, 56.7% were female, 54.6% and 16.1% (429/2690) were White and Black, respectively. The mean CAC interscan period was 5.1 ± 0.9 years, the mean GlycA level was 414.7 ± 65 μmol/L, and the incidence of CAC was 13.1% (280/2,129). GlycA level odds ratio (OR) for CAC incidence was 1.002 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0005-1.005, p=0.016] adjusted for demographics, lifestyle, a family history of early CAD (≤60 years), lipids, and comorbidities. The GlycA (≤p25 vs ≥p75) OR for CAC progression (Berry definition) was 1.77 (95% CI 1.07-2.96, p=0.03) in a similar multivariable-adjusted model. Higher GlycA levels were associated with CAC incidence and progression in a healthy Brazilian cohort.