Assessing the impact of land use land cover changes on soil moisture and vegetation cover in Southern Punjab, Pakistan using multi-temporal satellite data

ABSTRACTChange in land use land cover (LULC) is driven by human activities and drives changes that limit the accessibility of services and products for livestock and humans. This study aimed to develop the spatio-temporal changes in LULC, vegetation cover, and moisture index using multi-temporal satellite data in Southern Punjab, Pakistan. Analysis of satellite data was accomplished using ArcGIS 10.4 software. Based on ground-truthing, the supervised classification technique (maximum likelihood algorithm) was used to achieve the LULC classification. The LULC change analysis revealed that vegetation area converted to the build-up area by 7.17 % and bare soil converted to urban areas by 1.68 % from 2000 to 2021. Average NDVI values were calculated at 0.23, 0.17, 0.19, and 0.14 for 2000, 2007, 2014, and 2021, respectively. In the study area, average NDMI values were observed at 0.28, 0.25, 0.2, and 0.15 for 2000, 2007, 2014, and 2021, respectively. Based on our study, the general trend in Southern Punjab is a decrease in vegetation cover, moisture index, and forest area due to an increase in build-up areas. Assessments of LULC and NDMI changes, as well as estimates of the effect on the environment, are necessary for many policy decisions and planning.