Potential serotype-specific effectiveness against IPD of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines V114 and PCV20 in children given a 2+1 dosing regimen

BackgroundNext generation, higher valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) are assessed and licensed by comparing the immune response across serotypes shared with the PCVs that are standard of care for prevention of pneumococcal disease.MethodsUsing a previously qualified method we predicted the serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness (VE) against invasive pneumococcal disease of V114 and PCV20 for the serotypes shared with PCV13 in an EU, Russian, and Australian pediatric population that is recommended to receive a 2 + 1 dosing regimen.ResultsThe estimated protective antibody concentrations ranged from 0.03 (serotype 23F) to 1.49 mu g/mL (serotype 19F). Predicted VE values for V114 ranged from 79% (serotype 5) to 100% (serotype 23F). V114 had comparable effectiveness to PCV13 for all but one of shared serotypes, with predicted higher effectiveness (in V114) against serotype 3 (93% vs. 65%). Predicted VE values for PCV20 ranged from 47% (serotype 3) to 91% (serotype 14). PCV20 predicted VE was lower than PCV13's for serotypes 4, 19F, 23F, 1, 3, 5, 6A, 7F, and 19A.ConclusionsPredicted serotype-specific VE values suggest that, with a 2 + 1 dosing regimen, V114 will have greater effectiveness than PCV20 against PCV13 serotypes, particularly for the still-prevalent serotype 3. Real-world VE studies will ultimately provide clarity on the effectiveness of novel PCVs and support further confidence in and/or improvements to modeling efforts. Pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) were first introduced in Europe in the early 2000s and their incorporation into national immunization programs has helped decrease the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in Europe and globally. However, some IPD persists, due both to the emergence of non-vaccine pneumococcal serotypes and to the persistence of certain vaccine-targeted serotypes. Higher valency vaccines have been developed to help prevent IPD arising from these serotypes. The goal of the present study is to employ a previously developed model to predict the serotype-specific vaccine effectiveness of higher valency PCVs in a pediatric population that is recommended to receive a 2 + 1 dosing schedule.