Estimating soil N2O emissions induced by organic and inorganic fertilizer inputs using a Tier-2, regression-based meta-analytic approach for U.S. agricultural lands

Consistent methods are essential for generating country and region-specific estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions used for reporting and policymaking. The estimates of direct N2O emissions from U.S. agricultural soils have primarily relied on the use of emission factors (EFs, Tier-1) and process-based models (Tier-3). However, Tier-1 estimates are relatively crude while Tier-3 calculations can be costly. This work aimed to address this gap by developing a Tier-2, regression-based approach by leveraging a meta-database containing 1883 field N2O observations together with environmental and management covariates from 139 studies. Our results estimated higher monthly soil N2O emissions (N2Om, kg N/ha) during the growing season (0.38) than the fallow period (0.15), highlighting the importance of considering measurement period when utilizing meta-databases for analyzing N2O drivers. Significantly different N2Om were found for tillage practices (conventional > no-till: 0.42 > 0.27), fertilizer type (liquid > solid manure: 0.55 > 0.32), and soil texture (fine > coarse: 0.36 > 0.22). The comparisons of the influence of crop type and rotation, water management, and soil order on N2O emissions are complicated by data availability across regions and interactions among factors. Additionally, the finding that N2O emissions reported based on area (N2Om), N input rate (EF), or yield can alter treatment rankings emphasizes the need to establish transparent criteria for rewarding or discouraging regional-based management practices using N2O metrics. Finally, we presented how General Linear Models (GLMs) can be used to estimate country and regional Tier-2 N2Om using a suite of covariates. Our GLMs identified tillage, water management, N input type and rate, soil properties, and elevation as the most influential covariates for conterminous U.S. The limited accuracy of regional-scale GLMs, however, suggest the need to further improve the quality and availability of GHG and covariate data through concerted efforts in data collection.