Uncovering faint lensed gravitational-wave signals and reprioritizing their follow-up analysis using galaxy lensing forecasts with detected counterparts

Like light, gravitational waves can be gravitationally lensed by massive astrophysical objects. For galaxy and galaxy-cluster lenses, one expects to see strong lensing – forecasted to become observable in the coming years – where the original wave is split into multiple copies with the same frequency evolution but different overall arrival times, phases, amplitudes, and signal strengths. Some of these images can be below the detection threshold and require targeted search methods, based on tailor-made template banks. These searches can be made more sensitive by using our knowledge of the typical distribution and morphology of lenses to predict the time delay, magnification, and image-type ordering of the lensed images. Here, we show that when a subset of the images is super-threshold, they can be used to construct a more constrained prediction of the arrival time of the remaining signals, enhancing our ability to identify lensing candidate signals. Our suggested method effectively reduces the list of triggers requiring follow-up and generally re-ranks the genuine counterpart higher in the lensing candidate list. Therefore, in the future, if one observes two or three lensed images, the information they provide can be used to identify their sub-threshold counterparts, thus allowing identification of additional lensed images. Finding such images would also strengthen our evidence for the event being lensed.