Predicting pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer patients: use of MRI radiomics data from three regions with multiple machine learning algorithms

To construct a multi-region MRI radiomics model for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) in breast cancer (BCa) patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) and provide a theoretical basis for the peritumoral microenvironment affecting the efficacy of NACT. A total of 133 BCa patients who received NACT, including 49 with confirmed pCR, were retrospectively analyzed. The radiomics features of the intratumoral region, peritumoral region, and background parenchymal enhancement (BPE) were extracted, and the most relevant features were obtained after dimensional reduction. Then, combining different areas, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to select the optimal feature set, and six different machine learning models were used to predict pCR. The optimal model was selected, and its performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. SHAP analysis was used to examine the relationship between the features of the model and pCR. For signatures constructed using three individual regions, BPE provided the best predictions of pCR, and the diagnostic performance of the intratumoral and peritumoral regions improved after adding the BPE signature. The radiomics signature from the combination of all the three regions with the XGBoost machine learning algorithm provided the best predictions of pCR based on AUC (training set: 0.891, validation set: 0.861), sensitivity (training set: 0.882, validation set: 0.800), and specificity (training set: 0.847, validation set: 0.84). SHAP analysis demonstrated that LZ_log.sigma.2.0.mm.3D_glcm_ClusterShade_T12 made the greatest contribution to the predictions of this model. The addition of the BPE MRI signature improved the prediction of pCR in BCa patients who received NACT. These results suggest that the features of the peritumoral microenvironment are related to the efficacy of NACT.