The buttressing capacity of Antarctic ice shelves

Ice shelves can control the flux of ice across the grounding line of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), and hence the rate of mass loss, through the process of ice-shelf buttressing. Recent, increased mass loss from the AIS, particularly in the Amundsen Sea Embayment and the Antarctic Peninsula, has been attributed to a reduction in buttressing due to ice-shelf thinning, calving or ice-shelf collapse events. To determine how further changes in ice-shelf geometry might affect the contribution of the AIS to global sea levels, it is therefore important to quantify the total amount of buttressing that the ice shelves currently provide and to determine where within the ice shelves that buttressing is generated. Previous work has sought to characterise the buttressing of Antarctic ice shelves by, for example, calculating the sensitivity of grounding line flux (GLF) to small perturbations in ice-shelf thickness, or defining regions of passive shelf ice. In this work, we calculate the total buttressing capacity of all Antarctic ice shelves for the first time and then explore the spatial distribution of that total buttressing capacity within each ice shelf. We use the ice-flow model Úa to conduct a series of diagnostic, idealised calving experiments on a present-day, Antarctic-wide model domain, with high spatial resolution over ice shelves and grounding lines. We calculate the total buttressing capacity of each ice shelf as the relative change in GLF in response to the complete removal of the shelf and find that the total buttressing capacity varies by over two orders of magnitude around the ice sheet. We then conduct a series of idealised calving perturbations, using a range of procedures for generating new calving front locations, and explore the spatial distribution of the total buttressing capacity within each ice shelf. We find that the vast majority of the buttressing is typically generated in ice shelf regions within a few kilometres of the grounding line. Thus, we suggest that a greater area of Antarctica’s ice shelves could be considered passive than previously proposed.