Revisiting the implications of cliff-height dependent calving law on West Antarctic glaciers

crossref(2024)

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摘要
High-end estimates of sea-level change from Antarctica have been derived from simulations using upper-end forcing scenarios and ice-cliff height dependent calving laws. Those have been hypothesised to cause collapse of glaciers in West Antarctica through marine ice cliff instability (MICI). However, some previously published high-end estimate are based on results from a limited number of ice-sheet models, or even only a single ice-flow modelling study. There is, furthermore, low agreement on the implications of some of those calving laws for the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, and limited evidence of MICI having occurred in the past. Here we investigate the dynamic response of West Antarctic glaciers to high-end calving laws using the Úa ice-sheet model. Specifically, we conduct ice-shelf collapse experiments as defined in ABUMIP (Sun et al., 2020) with and without cliff failure mechanism in transient simulations conduced over centennial time scales. We find that the ice-cliff height dependent calving laws can cause glaciers to retreat and collapse from both fast and slow flowing regions. Furthermore, we find that the results are sensitive to numerical resolution near the grounding line. We suggest therefore that ice-sheet modellers always conduct convergence studies when implementing high-end calving laws.
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