Investor Behavior in Gold, US Dollars and Cryptocurrency during Global Pandemics

ECONOMIES(2024)

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摘要
COVID-19 and SARS are epidemics which have influenced the largest global economic crisis in recent years. This research reveals that both SARS and COVID-19 have led to fluctuations in the prices of gold and the US dollar index; however, there is no direct causal relationship be-tween COVID-19 and the price of bitcoin. The USD index saw a significant increase during the SARS outbreak, while gold prices surged during the COVID-19 pandemic. The notion that cryptocurrency will surpass the value of gold or traditional currencies seems improbable, given the lack of evidence linking bitcoin prices to COVID-19. Gold is expected to maintain its value in the long term, offering lower risk compared to other currencies.
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gold price,COVID-19,US dollars,bitcoin price,Granger causality,Johansen co-integration,vector error correction model
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