Supplementary material to "GC Insights: Communicating changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain"

Abstract. Directly linking greenhouse gas emissions or global warming to experiences of local climatic changes or extreme events is a potentially important communication tool. We develop a physically plausible ‘causal chain’ as one approach to demonstrate the connections between global carbon dioxide emissions and real-life events, using a case study of flood risk in one river basin in the UK.