Understanding Pathways into Care-homes using Data (UnPiCD study): a two-part model to estimate inpatient and care-home costs using national linked health and social care data

Pathways into care-homes have been under-researched. Individuals who move-in to a care-home from hospital are clinically distinct from those moving-in from the community. However, it remains unclear whether the source of care-home admission has any implications in term of costs. Our aim was to quantify hospital and care-home costs for individuals newly moving-in to care homes to compare those moving-in from hospital to those moving-in from the community. Using routinely-collected national social care and health data we constructed a cohort including people moving into care-homes from hospital and community settings between 01/04/2013-31/03/2015 based on records from the Scottish Care-Home Census (SCHC). Individual-level data were obtained from Scottish Morbidity Records (SMR01/04/50) and death records from National Records of Scotland (NRS). Unit costs were identified from NHS Scotland costs data and care-home costs from the SCHC. We used a two-part model to estimate costs conditional on having incurred positive costs. Additional analyses estimated differences in costs for the one-year period preceding and following care-home admission. We included 14,877 individuals moving-in to a care-home, 8,472 (57