Exploring NDVI change patterns across the Tibetan Plateau at the hillslope scale using geomorphons

Within the Tibetan Plateau (TP), grassland degradation is of great concern, and there is a need to better understand the spatial variability and landscape patterns in grassland degradation across the TP. This study explores potential patterns in grassland degradation, estimated using Landsat-derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) growing season change products generated by a prior study. Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital terrain model (DTM)-derived geomorphons, topographic slope and the topographic position index (TPI) were used to explore grassland degradation and assess whether changes in growing season NDVI are associated with specific grasslands or landforms. An increase in NDVI within the TP was observed especially during the 1990 to 2018 and 2000 to 2018 time periods. Higher growing season median NDVI change values were found for the Southeast Tibet Shrublands and Meadows (SETSM) and TP Alpine Shrublands and Meadows (TPASM) grasslands in comparison to the other grassland types analysed, suggesting a more pronounced greening trend in the eastern portion of the plateau in comparison to the western portion. Small differences in NDVI change were observed for different geomorphon-based landforms, while topographic slope and TPI showed only modest correlations with NDVI change for all time periods and grassland types. More localized patterns of grassland degradation were masked by the widespread greening trends. Further analysis of only pixels that experienced a decreasing NDVI magnitude of less than or equal to -0.1 also generally suggested more change in the SETSM and TPASM. While this study generally supports the use of geomorphons as an analysis and aggregating unit for studying change patterns at the hillslope scale, more research is required to fully grasp the dynamics of landscape change at the hillslope scale in the TP.