The Ratio Between the Infrarenal and Suprarenal Aortic Diameter Is a Predictor of Durable Proximal Seal After Endovascular Aneurysm Repair

Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess whether the ratio of the mean infrarenal neck diameter to the suprarenal aortic diameter is a predictor for a durable proximal seal after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). Methods: A total of 439 patients who underwent elective EVAR between 2004 and 2018 in a single vascular referral center met our inclusion criteria. Ratios were calculated by dividing the mean infrarenal neck diameter by 4 different suprarenal aortic diameters. Patients who developed a late type 1A endoleak (n=20) or proximal neck dilatation mandating revision (n=8) were compared with the 411 patients without long-term proximal seal complications. Results: Patients who developed a late type 1A endoleak had more frequently hypertension, a shorter infrarenal neck length, and a larger mean infrarenal neck diameter. The ratio of the mean infrarenal neck diameter to all 4 suprarenal aortic diameters was higher in the late type 1A endoleak group compared with the group without a late type 1A endoleak. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression identified a combination of 6 variables as the best combination to predict a late type 1A endoleak: presence of hypertension, increased mean infrarenal neck diameter, decreased aneurysm neck length, larger ratio of the mean infrarenal neck diameter to the aortic diameter proximal to the superior mesenteric artery (SMA), larger ratio of the mean infrarenal neck diameter to the aortic diameter proximal to the upper renal artery, and increased beta-angle. Of these, based on both the univariate area under the curve (AUC) and optimal LASSO model restricted to a single predictor, the ratio of the mean infrarenal neck diameter to the aortic diameter proximal to the SMA (AUC, 0.770; cutoff value, 0.997) was considered the best prognostic variable. Conclusion: The ratio of the mean infrarenal neck diameter to the aortic diameter proximal to the SMA is a good predictor for a late type 1A endoleak. Patients with mean infrarenal neck diameter larger than the diameter proximal to the SMA (ratio >1) are at risk for a late type 1A endoleak.