Predictive Role of White Blood Cell Differential Count for the Development of Acute Exacerbation in Korean Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Purpose: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a respiratory disease characterized by chronic inflammation. Acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) manifests as acute worsening of respiratory symptoms and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the predictive value of white blood count (WBC) and its derived inflammatory biomarkers for AECOPD.Methods: From the Korean COPD Subgroup Study cohort, a prospective and multicenter observational study, 826 patients who had baseline complete blood count (CBC) and 3-year AECOPD data were included. Follow-up CBC data at 1 (n = 385), 2 (n = 294), and 3 (n = 231) years were collected for available patients. The primary outcome was the occurrence of AECOPD at 3 years. The risk of AECOPD was evaluated using a binary logistic analysis.Results: The cumulative incidences of 12-, 24-, and 36-month AECOPD were 47.6%, 60.5%, and 67.6%, respectively. Patients with AECOPD at 3 years had higher baseline WBC counts, neutrophil counts, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and neutrophil/monocyte ratio than those without AECOPD. Higher WBC count, neutrophil count, and NLR were associated with the 3-year occurrence of AECOPD in the univariate analysis, but only the higher neutrophil count was a significant risk factor (odds ratio [OR] = 1.468; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.024-2.104) in the covariates-adjusted analysis. In the analysis of changes in inflammatory parameters, a decrease in the platelet count (OR = 0.502; 95% CI: 0.280-0.902) and NLR (OR = 0.535; 95% CI: 0.294-0.974) at 2 years and an increase in the eosinophil count (OR = 2.130; 95% CI: 1.027-4.416) at 3 years were significantly associated with AECOPD in the adjusted analysis. Conclusion: Our data suggest that a high baseline WBC count, particularly neutrophil count, was associated with a higher incidence of long-term AECOPD.