Diabetic retinopathy related homeostatic dysregulation and its association with mortality among diabetes patients: A cohort study from NHANES

Aims: To develop a metric termed the diabetic retinopathy-related homeostatic dysregulation (DRHD) value, and estimate its association with future risk of mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Methods: With the data of the NHANES, the biomarkers associated with DR were identified from 40 clinical parameters using LASSO regression. Subsequently, the DRHD value was constructed utilizing the Mahalanobis distance approach. In the retrospective cohort of 6420 type 2 diabetes patients, we estimated the associations between DRHD values and mortality related to all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes-specific causes using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: A set of 14 biomarkers associated with DR was identified for the construction of DRHD value. During an average of 8 years of follow-up, the multivariable-adjusted HRs and corresponding 95 % CIs for the highest quartiles of DRHD values were 2.04 (1.76, 2.37), 2.32 (1.78, 3.01), and 2.29 (1.72, 3.04) for all-cause, CVD and diabetes-specific mortality, respectively. Furthermore, we developed a web-based calculator for the DRHD value to enhance its accessibility and usability (https://dzwxl-drhd.streamlit.app/). Conclusions: Our study constructed the DRHD value as a measure to assess homeostatic dysregulation among individuals with type 2 diabetes. The DRHD values exhibited potential as a prognostic indicator for retinopathy and for mortality in patients affected by type 2 diabetes.