Timely Detection of Infants at Risk of Intrapartum Acidosis and Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy Using Cardiotocography

This work aims to improve the intrapartum detection of fetuses with an increased risk of developing fetal acidosis or hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) using fetal heart rate (FHR) and uterine pressure (UP) signals. Our study population comprised 40,831 term births divided into 3 classes based on umbilical cord or early neonatal blood gas assessments: 374 with verified HIE, 3,047 with acidosis but no encephalopathy and 37,410 healthy babies with normal gases. We developed an intervention recommendation system based on a random forest classifier. The classifier was trained using classical and novel features extracted electronically from 20-minute epochs of FHR and UP. Then, using the predictions of the classifier on each epoch, we designed a decision rule to determine when to recommended intervention. Compared to the Caesarean rates in each study group, our system identified an additional 5.68% of babies who developed HIE (54.55% vs 60.23%, p < 0.01) with a specific alert threshold. Importantly, about 75% of these recommendations were made more than 200 minutes before birth. In the acidosis group, the system identified an additional 17.44% (37.15% vs 54.59%, p < 0.01) and about 2/3 of these recommendations were made more than 200 minutes before birth. Compared to the Caesarean rate in the healthy group, the associated false positive rate was increased by 1.07% (38.80% vs 39.87%, p<0.01).