Abnormal adiposity indices are associated with an increased risk of diabetes in a non-obese Asian population

Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between adiposity indices and the risk of incident diabetes and to compare their predictive ability in non-obese healthy individuals. Study design: Population-based cohort study.Methods: Data were taken from the NAGALA research study, which enrolled Japanese adults aged 18-79 years. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between adiposity indices (including waist circumference [WC], waist-to-height ratio [WHtR], lipid accumulation product index [LAP], body roundness index [BRI], visceral adiposity index [VAI] and Chinese visceral adiposity index [CVAI]) and diabetes risk. The performance of the indices for predicting diabetes was explored using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A Chinese community-based population was used for validation.Results: A total of 12,940 healthy Japanese individuals with normal body mass index and glycaemic levels were included and were followed up for a median of 6 years. Multivariable Cox models revealed a positive and significant association between all indices and incident diabetes, with the hazard ratios for the highest quartile of the indices ranging from 1.89 to 2.90 (all P-values < 0.01). A non-linear association between WC, BRI and VAI and a linear association between WHtR, LAP and CVAI and diabetes risk were observed. CVAI, VAI and LAP had comparable ability in predicting diabetes, with the highest AUC being 0.733 for CVAI. Data from 10,830 Chinese individuals confirmed these results.Conclusions: Adiposity indices are associated with incident diabetes in healthy non-obese individuals. Participants in the highest quartile of WC, WHtR, LAP, BRI, VAI and CVAI had an increased risk of developing diabetes.(c) 2023 The Royal Society for Public Health. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.