Smartphone Atrial Fibrillation Burden During the Blanking Period Predicts Catheter Ablation Outcomes

Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence during the blanking period is under investigated. With the rise of smartphone-based electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring, there's potential for better prediction and understanding of AF recurrence trends. In this study we hypothesize that AF burden derived from a single-lead Smartphone ECG during the blanking period predicts recurrence of atrial arrhythmias after ablation. 630 patients with persistent AF undergoing ablation were included from the DECAAF II (Effect of MRI-Guided Fibrosis Ablation vs Conventional Catheter Ablation on Atrial Arrhythmia Recurrence in Patients With Persistent Atrial Fibrillation) trial. Patients recorded daily ECG strips using a smartphone device. AF burden was defined as the ratio of ECG strips with AF to the total number of strips submitted. The primary outcome was the recurrence of atrial arrhythmia. Recurrence occurred in 301 patients during the 18-month follow-up period. In patients who developed recurrent arrhythmia after 90 days of follow-up, AF burden during the blanking period was significantly higher when compared with patients who remained in sinus rhythm (31.3% vs 7.5%; P < 0.001). AF burden during the blanking period was an independent predictor of arrhythmia recurrence (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.36-1.47; P < 0.001). Through grid searching, an AF burden of 18% best discriminates between recurrence and no-recurrence groups, yielding a C-index of 0.748. After a follow-up period of 18 months, recurrence occurred in 33.7% of patients (147 of 436) with an AF burden <18% and in 79.4% of patients (154 of 194) with an AF burden >18% (HR: 4.57; 95% CI: 3.63-5.75; P < 0.001). A high AF burden derived from a smartphone ECG during the blanking period is a strong predictor of atrial arrhythmia recurrences after ablation.